Toulouse – Montpellier: Match without a draw Toulouse

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May 3, 2024

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Our pick: Toulouse – Montpellier.

03.05.2024 19:00

On Friday night, we will see unusually two preview games from the weekend round, with the first one hosted by Toulouse, who will welcome Montpellier in the regional Occitanie derby. The two teams are separated by three points in the table and have already substantially completed their journey towards salvation.

Toulouse have picked up significantly in the second half of the league season, and are currently on a run of five league games without defeat (3-2-0). The ‘Violets’ last managed to turn the game around at Lorient, when substitute Ibrahim Cissoko, who scored his first goal since his summer transfer from Dutch side Nijmegen, secured the win with seven minutes remaining. By the end of the season, Toulouse would also like to give the home fans the victory, who have been waiting for three games in a row, two months now.

Montpellier is also in decent form ahead of the regional derby, also unbeaten in the last five rounds (3-2-0). Last time, the charges of coach Michel Der Zakarian parted amicably with Nantes (1-1), which the coach with Armenian roots took after the match. His team finished with nine players after the exclusion of Lucas Mincarelli and Arnaud Nordin. Both of them were given a two-game suspension for their indiscretions, which, especially in Nordin’s case, is a big disadvantage for Montpellier.

What to bet on?

Both teams don’t have as much motivation at the end of the season, but that will be replaced by the momentum of a regional derby. I see Toulouse as a slight favourite, as unlike Montpellier, they don’t rely so much on individual qualities, but on an honest, team performance. This offers a no draw bet at solid odds in favour of the home “Violets.”

Confidence:

7/10

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