Atl.Madrid – Dortmund: less than 2.5 goals in the match

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April 10, 2024

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Our prediction: Atl.Madrid – Dortmund: less than 2.5 goals in the match

10.04.2024 21:00

Both clubs welcomed the quarter-final draw, with tougher opponents in the pool. Of the four pairings, then, this one is the least attractive and produced a fairly surprising semi-finalist.

Atlético didn’t have much faith in the eight-final against Inter anymore, especially when Los Rojiblancos lost 0-1 after a poor performance at San Siro and cashed first in the home rematch. However, if Atlético is strong in anything, it is in Champions League home games. They turned the score around, forced extra time and then managed a penalty shootout. Given their mediocre away record, they will also be betting on home soil in the quarter-finals.

After all, in the knockout part of the Champions League, under coach Diego Simeone, the club has not lost even one of its 16 matches (10 wins) in front of its fans. The magic has not been lost even after the move from the Vicente Calderona Stadium to the Wanda Metropolitano. Inter’s goal was only the fourth that the Rojiblancos conceded at home in the Champions League playoffs.

Dortmund advanced to the playoffs from the group of death (Newcastle, PSG, AC Milan), in which they lost only the opening game in Paris, knocking out PSV 3-1 on aggregate in the eighth round after a 1-1 draw in the Netherlands, and managing a 2-0 home rematch. However, like Atlético, it has had an erratic season. He can dominate matches, but also completely fall out of the role. That’s also why Borussia is only fifth in the Bundesliga and has shown both faces in the last two rounds – after winning 2-0 at Bayern Munich after ten years, it lost 0-1 at home to Stuttgart.

What to bet on:

Both teams feel they have a great chance of reaching the semi-finals. Especially in the first leg in Madrid, you can expect tactical chess, Simeone is a stickler for discipline and defensive work. More than two goals will not fall in Madrid.

Confidence:

7/10

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