Dortmund – Atl.Madrid: winner Dortmund

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April 16, 2024

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Our tip: Dortmund – Atl.Madrid: winner Dortmund

16.04.2024 21:00

Had Galeno converted the biggest chance of the game in the 75th minute, he would have increased the score to 3-0 for Atlético. But Kobel pulled off the save of the season, substitute Haller reduced the deficit six minutes later and Dortmund were still reaching for an equaliser when two more fresh players, Bynoe-Gittens and Brandt, hit the crossbar. It was Terzic’s hilarious substitutions that completely turned the tide of the opening game, in which Los Rojiblancos may have won 2-1, but they themselves know they could have gone to Westphalia with a much better result. As it is, the visitors will face an inferno in front of 80,000 spectators at Signal Iduna Park.

Atlético will not be as active as at home, where they forced Dortmund’s mistakes with high pressing and struck twice with clinical precision. Now it’s BVB’s turn, having won the home rematch 2-0 in the eighth-final after a 1-1 draw in Eindhoven. Sancho decided the tie in the third minute with his debut goal in the Champions League playoffs. The English striker missed the weekend match in Mönchengladbach due to illness, where Borussia won 2-1 thanks to two Sabitzer goals. Terzic changed half of the line-up compared to the Madrid game and regretted the injury to Haller, who came off in the 10th minute. Anyway, he can count on Sancho.

Simeone made two more changes to the starting eleven in the home game against Girona, but from the start he let Griezmann play, who followed up on Wednesday’s excellent performance and backed up the 3-1 win with two goals. Atlético improved their Champions League position a lot, leapfrogging Bilbao and closing the gap on Girona. A welcome boost ahead of the return leg in Dortmund. In any case, Los Rojiblancos are not as strong away as they are at home, losing 0-1 to Inter at San Siro in the semi-final and drawing at Lazio and Celtic in the group stage. And they will miss the distanced Lino, one of the scorers in the first match.

What to bet on:

Advancement is open, anyway Atleti’s weaker away performances plus Dortmund’s home strength puts BVB as slight favourites for the rematch.

Confidence:

6/10

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